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Last updated: 15 Sep 2018
Teun v/d Dool
info@bcdb.info
© 2002-2024
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Statistical Influence of ROM Dogs in the ISDS Border Collie Population
In an earlier article ('Statistics from the Stud Books') the key dogs where identified as the dogs with the strongest genetic influence on the current population (current population = dogs born during the last 5 years). The question could be raised if the key dog statistics would change if both parents of each founder or ROM dog (Registered On Merit) would be known. Founders or ROM dogs of a population are dogs of which one or both parents are unknown. For this purpose the statistics of the founders were retrieved from the database. They are displayed in the table below.
To calculate the maximum influence of the ROM dogs on the current population suppose that each of those 'founders' has the same parents. This is impossible because such a dog would have to live over 50 years, but it gives an upper limit to the influence. The total influence on the current population is then the sum of 'Total Unreg x Mean Influence' divided by two (because a single parent contributes only half of its genes to its offspring). We exclude the first two volumes (1947 and 1948) because they mainly contain unregistered dogs. The sum for all other years is 0.16%. This is negligible compared to the identified key dogs which have at least 2% influence.
So the statistics are accurate from 1949 onwards. The only change in identified key dogs could come from additional information of dogs born before 1949.
Year | Total ROM | Unreg. ROM | Unreg. Other | Total Unreg. | Total Reg. | %Unreg. | %Mean Infuence |
1947 |
0 |
0 |
1447 |
1447 |
3000 |
48.23 |
2.952 |
1948 |
0 |
0 |
1274 |
1274 |
3000 |
42.47 |
1.614 |
1949 |
6 |
6 |
15 |
21 |
650 |
3.23 |
0.089 |
1950 |
7 |
7 |
4 |
11 |
850 |
1.29 |
0.562 |
1951 |
8 |
8 |
3 |
11 |
775 |
1.42 |
0.071 |
1952 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
875 |
0.46 |
0.021 |
1953 |
7 |
7 |
3 |
10 |
852 |
1.17 |
0.297 |
1954 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
4 |
875 |
0.46 |
0.000 |
1955 |
11 |
11 |
0 |
11 |
925 |
1.19 |
0.225 |
1956 |
2 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
1050 |
0.19 |
0.000 |
1957 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
1150 |
0.26 |
0.001 |
1958 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
7 |
1049 |
0.67 |
0.002 |
1959 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
7 |
1051 |
0.67 |
0.005 |
1960 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
6 |
3175 |
0.19 |
0.002 |
1961 |
6 |
5 |
0 |
5 |
3225 |
0.16 |
0.040 |
1962 |
8 |
1 |
6 |
7 |
4250 |
0.16 |
0.000 |
1963 |
17 |
13 |
0 |
13 |
4250 |
0.31 |
0.046 |
1964 |
10 |
9 |
0 |
9 |
4192 |
0.21 |
0.001 |
1965 |
13 |
11 |
0 |
11 |
4600 |
0.24 |
0.816 |
1966 |
13 |
10 |
6 |
16 |
4503 |
0.36 |
0.320 |
1967 |
20 |
18 |
2 |
20 |
4902 |
0.41 |
0.211 |
1968 |
7 |
4 |
7 |
11 |
4800 |
0.23 |
0.003 |
1969 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
7 |
4400 |
0.16 |
0.031 |
1970 |
7 |
4 |
1 |
5 |
5901 |
0.08 |
0.006 |
1971 |
9 |
8 |
1 |
9 |
5750 |
0.16 |
0.091 |
1972 |
3 |
3 |
0 |
3 |
5001 |
0.06 |
0.000 |
1973 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
6500 |
0.05 |
0.000 |
1974 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
4 |
6001 |
0.07 |
0.070 |
1975 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
11 |
5831 |
0.19 |
0.016 |
1976 |
7 |
6 |
14 |
20 |
6670 |
0.30 |
0.038 |
1977 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
4325 |
0.02 |
0.003 |
1978 |
6 |
4 |
0 |
4 |
6348 |
0.06 |
0.017 |
1979 |
7 |
4 |
0 |
4 |
5897 |
0.07 |
0.152 |
1980 |
2 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
6599 |
0.03 |
0.000 |
1981 |
14 |
6 |
0 |
6 |
6644 |
0.09 |
0.069 |
1982 |
9 |
9 |
0 |
9 |
6621 |
0.14 |
0.025 |
1983 |
12 |
8 |
0 |
8 |
6686 |
0.12 |
0.012 |
1984 |
9 |
6 |
1 |
7 |
6730 |
0.10 |
0.009 |
1985 |
13 |
9 |
0 |
9 |
6881 |
0.13 |
0.003 |
1986 |
9 |
9 |
0 |
9 |
7176 |
0.13 |
0.060 |
1987 |
11 |
9 |
0 |
9 |
6595 |
0.14 |
0.002 |
1988 |
14 |
10 |
1 |
11 |
7091 |
0.16 |
0.054 |
1989 |
8 |
7 |
0 |
7 |
6709 |
0.10 |
0.000 |
1990 |
10 |
7 |
0 |
7 |
7215 |
0.10 |
0.944 |
1991 |
11 |
9 |
0 |
9 |
6584 |
0.14 |
0.001 |
1992 |
11 |
5 |
0 |
5 |
6074 |
0.08 |
0.086 |
1993 |
11 |
7 |
0 |
7 |
6305 |
0.11 |
0.017 |
1994 |
10 |
4 |
0 |
4 |
5529 |
0.07 |
0.031 |
1995 |
9 |
5 |
1 |
6 |
6116 |
0.10 |
0.006 |
1996 |
5 |
5 |
0 |
5 |
6263 |
0.08 |
0.021 |
1997 |
13 |
8 |
0 |
8 |
6186 |
0.13 |
0.052 |
1998 |
9 |
5 |
0 |
5 |
6158 |
0.08 |
0.039 |
1999 |
12 |
11 |
0 |
11 |
5609 |
0.20 |
0.016 |
2000 |
9 |
7 |
0 |
7 |
5733 |
0.12 |
0.000 |
2001 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4581 |
0.00 |
0.000 |
2002 |
6 |
3 |
0 |
3 |
5097 |
0.06 |
0.013 |
2003 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
5565 |
0.02 |
0.000 |
2004 |
7 |
2 |
46 |
48 |
6005 |
0.80 |
0.018 |
2005 |
9 |
4 |
128 |
132 |
6390 |
2.07 |
0.034 |
2006 |
8 |
4 |
46 |
50 |
6137 |
0.81 |
0.008 |
2007 |
10 |
8 |
63 |
71 |
6390 |
1.11 |
0.070 |
2008 |
23 |
14 |
131 |
145 |
6479 |
2.24 |
0.134 |
2009 |
22 |
12 |
73 |
85 |
5901 |
1.44 |
0.030 |
2010 |
33 |
12 |
21 |
33 |
6036 |
0.55 |
0.030 |
2011 |
55 |
13 |
56 |
69 |
6640 |
1.04 |
0.025 |
2012 |
31 |
15 |
41 |
56 |
6136 |
0.91 |
0.066 |
2013 |
36 |
17 |
29 |
46 |
6106 |
0.75 |
0.104 |
2014 |
25 |
14 |
22 |
36 |
5804 |
0.62 |
0.054 |
2015 |
50 |
11 |
51 |
62 |
6054 |
1.02 |
0.011 |
2016 |
35 |
11 |
39 |
50 |
6185 |
0.81 |
0.029 |
2017 |
40 |
21 |
45 |
66 |
6992 |
0.94 |
0.008 |
Year | Total ROM | Unreg. ROM | Unreg. Other | Total Unreg. | Total Reg. | %Unreg. | %Mean Infuence |
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Table 1. Statistics of dogs with one or both parents unregistered or unknown.
* Year: Stud Book year of publication.
* Total ROM: The total number of 'Registered on Merit' Dogs. These do not only include the dogs with one or both parents unregistered but also dogs that were registered a couple of years after their date of birth.
* Unreg.ROM: Number of ROM dogs with at least one parent unregistered.
* Unreg.Other: Dogs with at least one parent unknown because of missing information in the Stud Books.
* Total Unreg.: Unreg.ROM + Unreg.Other
* Total Reg.: The total number of dogs registered in the Stud Book of that year.
* %Unreg.: 100 x (Total Unreg.)/(Total Reg.)
* %Mean Influence: The average influence of the 'Total Unreg.' dogs on the current population (dogs born in the last 5 years).
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